I wanted to try something new and create a little blog for my random fantasy football thoughts, takes and whatever else comes to mind. I’m super grateful for you purchasing my Draft Kit, it means a lot! Thank you! – Kyle
If you have any questions or want to bounce ideas, please DM me on Twitter!
6/27/22 – Monday
Just wanted to share some of my recent upgrades and downgrades from last week.
It sounds like Chris Godwin is likely to miss more than just 6 games in 2022. Per Bucs beat writer Leo Haggerty, “they do not need Godwin until later in the season – mentions November, maybe even December when we may see him return”. He also mentioned the Bucs running the ball more under HC Todd Bowles, as well as assuming Gronk will return at some point this year. I have Russell Gage as my WR25 in Full PPR. Continue to target Fournette, Evans and Gage.
On Deshaun Watson, it’s looking more and more likely that he’ll be suspended for the entire 2022 seasons, and maybe beyond. My numbers currently reflect Jacoby Brissett starting 11-12 games this year. This means I’ll likely be out on Browns players at ADP.
I’m getting excited about the New England Patriots offense. James White appears to be headed to the PUP list for 6 games, which will open things up for both Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson. I’m targeting Stevenson aggressively right now in the 9th/10th rounds with reports of him working on his pass catching skills. We should expect Mac Jones to take a step up this year and enjoy QB2 numbers for Superflex leagues. Jakobi Myers is his best PPR target, but I like taking Patriots pass catchers in best ball leagues right now.
Reports on Alvin Kamara are that he is looking at a suspension of at least 6 games. For now, I’ve docked him 6-8 games and have him off my board. Expect more passing from Jameis Winston and lean into this passing game for fantasy with Chris Olave, Jarvis Landry and maybe even Michael Thomas. I won’t trust any Saints RB while Kamara is out.
6/20/22 – Monday
It’s good to be back! I was on a family vacation this past week but I’m back now and ready to continue building the 2022 Draft Kit for you guys. It looks like I didn’t miss much NFL news last week, but I’ll begin updating the rankings and other items within the draft kit. It sounds like the NFL will be making a decision on the Deshaun Watson discipline very soon, so for now, I have Jacoby Brissett starting 13 games for the Browns.
6/6/22 – Monday
Happy Monday friends.
I decided to update my projections for the Cleveland Browns today. Deshaun Watson’s situation seems to get murkier each week and I finally needed to knock him a few games for a potential suspension. I hit him with a 5 game suspension, so only 12 starts with my projections brings him to QB27. His per game average would bring him up to around the QB8-10 range. The biggest chain reactions to this move would bring down Amari Cooper to around WR31 and David Njoku to TE13. It’s very likely that Baker Mayfield wouldn’t even play in this scenario, so Jacoby Brissett would be the guy.
If Watson does get to play the full season, I would be restoring my projections to reflect Watson as a Top 12 QB, Cooper as a Top 20 WR and Njoku as a Top 10 TE. For my own personal feelings and morals, I will not be drafting Deshaun Watson this season and likely beyond, but I will be interested in Amari Cooper, David Njoku, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. To each his own. For now, I’m passing on drafting Browns players until we get more clarity on the situation.
On a more positive note, I’m excited to report that I’ve tinkered with my Arizona Cardinals numbers and have come to the conclusion that Zach Ertz is a massive fantasy value at TE. His average ADP on Drafters is 107.6 as the TE10 off the board. My updates moved him up to TE9 but when I initially did the updates, he was at TE6. I had to reflect on it for a while before ,removing a few numbers to settle on TE9, but TE6 is definitely in his range of outcomes as DHop is suspended to start the year. I know Marquise Brown is there, but the absence of Christian Kirk cancels this out for me and leaves Zach Ertz as the potential target leader to start the season. Helluva of a TE target in the 9th or 10th round!
More TE notes: I have updated Tampa Bay projections and have inserted Rob Gronkowski to be back in action. His high risk high reward nature is still factored in, but he comes in at TE16 for now. He’s being drafted with an ADP of 119.9 as TE11, which seems like a fine ADP but I’m not sure I love him as the 11th TE off the board. I’m more interested in drafting guys like David Njoku, Pat Freiermuth, Irv Smith and Cole Kmet, all who go drafted well after Gronk.
6/2/22 – Thursday
I just wanted to take a minute to share my thoughts on some of the recent updates I made in my projections and rankings.
QB – I’ve upgraded Trey Lance to be starting for 15-16 games this season, as it seems more and more likely that Jimmy G is going to be be moved. This catapults Lance into the QB1 territory as my QB13. I think I’d be willing take him over older, non rushing QBs like Rodgers, Carr and Cousins for sure. Where it gets interesting, is comparing Lance to guys like Watson, Stafford, and Prescott. If you play Superflex, this is the QB2 you’re looking for.
RB – I don’t have any drastic RB changes, but I need to mention how much I love drafting Travis Etienne and Clyde Edwards-Helaire this year. Etienne is a 4th or 5th round pick and has Top 12 potential in PPR. CEH is going to be a rock steady RB2 this season and has a wide range of ADP in the 5th-7th rounds.
WR – My two favorite values at WR right now: Courtland Sutton and Michael Pittman Jr. I have them both in my top 10 at the position and they are being draft as late 3rd or 4th round picks. Please try and grab at least one of these guys in the third and if you can, snag the other in the 4th.
TE – Mark Andrews hops Travis Kelce as my TE1. I’m nervous about Kelce for two reasons: age, and more attention from defenses now that Tyreek is out of there. I don’t love drafting either one of these guys in the 2nd rounds. I much prefer Waller/Pitts in the 4th, but my favorite strategy remains waiting on TE for guys like Knox, Njoku, Irv Smith, Freiermuth and Kmet.
6/1/22 – Wednesday
Welcome to June!
Just wanted to share this tweet I made after listening to a great podcast by Establish the Run.
I will be updating the site rankings, cheat sheets and other items today, and will always do so on the 1st of the months. I’ll try to update things 1 or 2 other times through the month up until August where I’ll update things weekly for you. For now, I just wanted to share that podcast and let you know that I’ll be ramping up my Tik Toks, podcasts and mock drafts this month!
5/26/22 – Thursday
I just want to make a mental note of my favorite players I want to draft on my teams this year:
1st Round: Dalvin Cook, Austin Ekeler, Najee Harris, Justin Jefferson
2nd Round: CeeDee Lamb, D’Andre Swift, Aaron Jones, Mike Evans
3rd Round: Saquon Barkley, James Conner, Tee Higgins, Mike Williams
4th Round: Michael Pittman Jr., Amari Cooper, Darren Waller, Courtland Sutton
5th Round: Justin Herbert, Travis Etienne, Jerry Jeudy, Allen Robinson
6th Round: Darnell Mooney, Brandin Cooks, Elijah Moore, Rashod Bateman
7th Round: AJ Dillon, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Russell Wilson
8th Round: Russell Gage, Tony Pollard, Christian Kirk, Dawson Knox