2023 Projected Target Share : the Fantasy Fellowship

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Target Share is the amount of targets a player gets divided by the total amount of pass attempts within his offense. The higher the target share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that targets have an 84% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 86% for WRs and 87% for TEs. Target Share is a useful stat for all three, but clearly the TE position is the one to take notice of here. Below you will find our projected target share’s for 2023.

Tight Ends: (87% correlation)(targets = 98%)

Wide Receivers: (86% correlation)(targets = 95%)

Running Backs: (84% correlation)

Rank		Player	Pos.	Rec	Targets	Target Share
1	LV	Davante Adams	WR	100	165	27.27%
2	CHI	DJ Moore	WR	75	118	26.52%
3	MIN	Justin Jefferson	WR	120	177	26.42%
4	TEN	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	84	136	26.41%
5	ATL	Drake London	WR	85	130	26.26%
6	LAR	Cooper Kupp	WR	104	155	25.83%
7	DET	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	108	155	25.62%
8	MIA	Tyreek Hill	WR	104	151	25.59%
9	BUF	Stefon Diggs	WR	101	150	25.42%
10	DAL	CeeDee Lamb	WR	100	145	25.00%
11	PIT	Diontae Johnson	WR	93	149	24.83%
12	PHI	AJ Brown	WR	83	134	24.36%
13	CIN	Ja’Marr Chase	WR	108	155	24.22%
14	NYJ	Garrett Wilson	WR	97	150	24.19%
15	PHI	DeVonta Smith	WR	90	133	24.18%
16	IND	Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	74	130	24.07%
17	NO	Chris Olave	WR	84	130	23.64%
18	SEA	DK Metcalf	WR	87	135	23.48%
19	TB	Chris Godwin	WR	85	135	23.48%
20	MIA	Jaylen Waddle	WR	88	134	22.71%
21	ARI	Marquise Brown	WR	84	132	22.37%
22	JAX	Calvin Ridley	WR	83	136	22.11%
23	SEA	Tyler Lockett	WR	86	125	21.74%
24	CLE	Amari Cooper	WR	80	125	21.37%
25	WAS	Jahan Dotson	WR	74	120	21.24%
26	WAS	Terry McLaurin	WR	74	120	21.24%
27	ATL	Kyle Pitts	TE	69	105	21.21%
28	JAX	Christian Kirk	WR	82	128	20.81%
29	SF	Deebo Samuel	WR	69	113	20.73%
30	SF	Brandon Aiyuk	WR	73	113	20.73%
31	GB	Christian Watson	WR	68	115	20.72%
32	BAL	Mark Andrews	TE	81	115	20.18%
33	KC	Travis Kelce	TE	98	135	20.15%
34	LAC	Keenan Allen	WR	89	135	19.85%
35	NYG	Darren Waller	TE	78	110	19.64%
36	HOU	Nico Collins	WR	61	110	19.64%
37	TEN	Treylon Burks	WR	65	100	19.42%
38	PIT	George Pickens	WR	68	115	19.17%
39	TB	Mike Evans	WR	65	110	19.13%
40	CIN	Tee Higgins	WR	79	120	18.75%
41	CAR	Adam Thielen	WR	67	105	18.75%
42	MIN	TJ Hockenson	TE	78	125	18.66%
43	DEN	Courtland Sutton	WR	73	110	18.64%
44	BAL	Zay Flowers	WR	61	105	18.42%
45	PHI	Dallas Goedert	TE	76	100	18.18%
46	NO	Michael Thomas	WR	63	100	18.18%
47	DAL	Brandin Cooks	WR	70	105	18.10%
48	CLE	Elijah Moore	WR	70	105	17.95%
49	GB	Romeo Doubs	WR	60	95	17.12%
50	JAX	Zay Jones	WR	64	105	17.07%
51	BUF	Gabe Davis	WR	61	100	16.95%
52	DEN	Jerry Jeudy	WR	64	100	16.95%
53	LAC	Mike Williams	WR	75	115	16.91%
54	IND	Alec Pierce	WR	47	91	16.85%
55	NE	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR	67	95	16.81%
56	MIN	Jordan Addison	WR	76	111	16.57%
57	LV	Jakobi Meyers	WR	69	100	16.53%
58	SF	Christian McCaffrey	RB	73	90	16.51%
59	PIT	Pat Freiermuth	TE	66	96	16.00%
60	NE	DeVante Parker	WR	54	90	15.93%
61	SF	George Kittle	TE	61	85	15.60%
62	LAC	Austin Ekeler	RB	87	105	15.44%
63	BAL	Rashod Bateman	WR	51	88	15.44%
64	GB	Jayden Reed	WR	50	85	15.32%
65	CHI	Darnell Mooney	WR	40	68	15.28%
66	DEN	Marvin Mims Jr.	WR	56	90	15.25%
67	NYG	Isaiah Hodgins	WR	63	85	15.18%
68	CAR	Jonathan Mingo	WR	52	85	15.18%
69	ARI	Rondale Moore	WR	64	89	15.08%
70	CLE	Donovan Peoples-Jones	WR	55	88	15.04%
71	LAR	Tyler Higbee	TE	62	90	15.00%
72	JAX	Evan Engram	TE	67	92	14.96%
73	KC	Skyy Moore	WR	67	100	14.93%
74	DET	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	67	90	14.88%
75	SEA	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	60	85	14.78%
76	DAL	Michael Gallup	WR	49	85	14.66%
77	CHI	Cole Kmet	TE	45	65	14.61%
78	CLE	David Njoku	TE	61	85	14.53%
79	NYJ	Allen Lazard	WR	58	90	14.52%
80	GB	Luke Musgrave	TE	51	80	14.41%
81	NYG	Darius Slayton	WR	52	80	14.29%
82	CAR	DJ Chark	WR	48	80	14.29%
83	HOU	Dalton Schultz	TE	55	80	14.29%
84	MIN	KJ Osborn	WR	54	95	14.18%
85	LAR	Van Jefferson	WR	53	85	14.17%
86	LV	Hunter Renfrow	WR	59	85	14.05%
87	IND	Josh Downs	WR	43	75	13.89%
88	NYG	Saquon Barkley	RB	57	75	13.39%
89	NYG	Parris Campbell	WR	53	75	13.39%
90	HOU	Robert Woods	WR	44	75	13.39%
91	CIN	Tyler Boyd	WR	57	85	13.28%
92	WAS	Curtis Samuel	WR	49	75	13.27%
93	ATL	Mack Hollins	WR	44	65	13.13%
94	TB	Rachaad White	RB	58	75	13.04%
95	TB	Trey Palmer	WR	48	75	13.04%
96	CHI	Chase Claypool	WR	34	58	13.03%
97	DAL	Jake Ferguson	TE	55	75	12.93%
98	NYJ	Mecole Hardman	WR	45	80	12.90%
99	NO	Alvin Kamara	RB	55	70	12.73%
100	TEN	Chigoziem Okonkwo	TE	45	65	12.62%

Targets:

Rank		Player	Pos.	Rec	Targets	Target Share
1	MIN	Justin Jefferson	WR	120	177	26.42%
2	LV	Davante Adams	WR	100	165	27.27%
3	LAR	Cooper Kupp	WR	104	155	25.83%
4	DET	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	108	155	25.62%
5	CIN	Ja’Marr Chase	WR	108	155	24.22%
6	MIA	Tyreek Hill	WR	104	151	25.59%
7	BUF	Stefon Diggs	WR	101	150	25.42%
8	NYJ	Garrett Wilson	WR	97	150	24.19%
9	PIT	Diontae Johnson	WR	93	149	24.83%
10	DAL	CeeDee Lamb	WR	100	145	25.00%
11	TEN	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	84	136	26.41%
12	JAX	Calvin Ridley	WR	83	136	22.11%
13	SEA	DK Metcalf	WR	87	135	23.48%
14	TB	Chris Godwin	WR	85	135	23.48%
15	KC	Travis Kelce	TE	98	135	20.15%
16	LAC	Keenan Allen	WR	89	135	19.85%
17	PHI	AJ Brown	WR	83	134	24.36%
18	MIA	Jaylen Waddle	WR	88	134	22.71%
19	PHI	DeVonta Smith	WR	90	133	24.18%
20	ARI	Marquise Brown	WR	84	132	22.37%
21	ATL	Drake London	WR	85	130	26.26%
22	IND	Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	74	130	24.07%
23	NO	Chris Olave	WR	84	130	23.64%
24	JAX	Christian Kirk	WR	82	128	20.81%
25	SEA	Tyler Lockett	WR	86	125	21.74%
26	CLE	Amari Cooper	WR	80	125	21.37%
27	MIN	TJ Hockenson	TE	78	125	18.66%
28	WAS	Jahan Dotson	WR	74	120	21.24%
29	WAS	Terry McLaurin	WR	74	120	21.24%
30	CIN	Tee Higgins	WR	79	120	18.75%
31	CHI	DJ Moore	WR	75	118	26.52%
32	GB	Christian Watson	WR	68	115	20.72%
33	BAL	Mark Andrews	TE	81	115	20.18%
34	PIT	George Pickens	WR	68	115	19.17%
35	LAC	Mike Williams	WR	75	115	16.91%
36	SF	Deebo Samuel	WR	69	113	20.73%
37	SF	Brandon Aiyuk	WR	73	113	20.73%
38	MIN	Jordan Addison	WR	76	111	16.57%
39	NYG	Darren Waller	TE	78	110	19.64%
40	HOU	Nico Collins	WR	61	110	19.64%
41	TB	Mike Evans	WR	65	110	19.13%
42	DEN	Courtland Sutton	WR	73	110	18.64%
43	ATL	Kyle Pitts	TE	69	105	21.21%
44	CAR	Adam Thielen	WR	67	105	18.75%
45	BAL	Zay Flowers	WR	61	105	18.42%
46	DAL	Brandin Cooks	WR	70	105	18.10%
47	CLE	Elijah Moore	WR	70	105	17.95%
48	JAX	Zay Jones	WR	64	105	17.07%
49	LAC	Austin Ekeler	RB	87	105	15.44%
50	TEN	Treylon Burks	WR	65	100	19.42%
51	PHI	Dallas Goedert	TE	76	100	18.18%
52	NO	Michael Thomas	WR	63	100	18.18%
53	BUF	Gabe Davis	WR	61	100	16.95%
54	DEN	Jerry Jeudy	WR	64	100	16.95%
55	LV	Jakobi Meyers	WR	69	100	16.53%
56	KC	Skyy Moore	WR	67	100	14.93%
57	PIT	Pat Freiermuth	TE	66	96	16.00%
58	GB	Romeo Doubs	WR	60	95	17.12%
59	NE	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR	67	95	16.81%
60	MIN	KJ Osborn	WR	54	95	14.18%
61	JAX	Evan Engram	TE	67	92	14.96%
62	IND	Alec Pierce	WR	47	91	16.85%
63	SF	Christian McCaffrey	RB	73	90	16.51%
64	NE	DeVante Parker	WR	54	90	15.93%
65	DEN	Marvin Mims Jr.	WR	56	90	15.25%
66	LAR	Tyler Higbee	TE	62	90	15.00%
67	DET	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	67	90	14.88%
68	NYJ	Allen Lazard	WR	58	90	14.52%
69	ARI	Rondale Moore	WR	64	89	15.08%
70	BAL	Rashod Bateman	WR	51	88	15.44%
71	CLE	Donovan Peoples-Jones	WR	55	88	15.04%
72	SF	George Kittle	TE	61	85	15.60%
73	GB	Jayden Reed	WR	50	85	15.32%
74	NYG	Isaiah Hodgins	WR	63	85	15.18%
75	CAR	Jonathan Mingo	WR	52	85	15.18%
76	SEA	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	60	85	14.78%
77	DAL	Michael Gallup	WR	49	85	14.66%
78	CLE	David Njoku	TE	61	85	14.53%
79	LAR	Van Jefferson	WR	53	85	14.17%
80	LV	Hunter Renfrow	WR	59	85	14.05%
81	CIN	Tyler Boyd	WR	57	85	13.28%
82	GB	Luke Musgrave	TE	51	80	14.41%
83	NYG	Darius Slayton	WR	52	80	14.29%
84	CAR	DJ Chark	WR	48	80	14.29%
85	HOU	Dalton Schultz	TE	55	80	14.29%
86	NYJ	Mecole Hardman	WR	45	80	12.90%
87	LAC	Joshua Palmer	WR	47	80	11.76%
88	IND	Josh Downs	WR	43	75	13.89%
89	NYG	Saquon Barkley	RB	57	75	13.39%
90	NYG	Parris Campbell	WR	53	75	13.39%
91	HOU	Robert Woods	WR	44	75	13.39%
92	WAS	Curtis Samuel	WR	49	75	13.27%
93	TB	Rachaad White	RB	58	75	13.04%
94	TB	Trey Palmer	WR	48	75	13.04%
95	DAL	Jake Ferguson	TE	55	75	12.93%
96	PIT	Allen Robinson	WR	48	75	12.50%
97	LAC	Gerald Everett	TE	53	75	11.03%
98	NO	Alvin Kamara	RB	55	70	12.73%
99	CAR	Hayden Hurst	TE	45	70	12.50%
100	NE	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	56	70	12.39%