2023 Projected Target Share

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Target Share is the amount of targets a player gets divided by the total amount of pass attempts within his offense. The higher the target share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that targets have an 84% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 86% for WRs and 87% for TEs. Target Share is a useful stat for all three, but clearly the TE position is the one to take notice of here. Below you will find our projected target share’s for 2023.

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Tight Ends: (87% correlation)(furthermore, targets = 98% correlation)

Wide Receivers: (86% correlation)

Rank		Player	Pos.	Targets	Target Share	PPR	1/2 PPR	Standard
1	LAR	Cooper Kupp	WR1	170	28.33%	324.5	266.5	208.5
2	MIN	Justin Jefferson	WR2	180	27.27%	355	294.5	234
3	MIA	Tyreek Hill	WR3	160	27.12%	324	270.0	216
4	BUF	Stefon Diggs	WR4	160	26.67%	301.5	248.5	195.5
5	LV	Davante Adams	WR5	160	26.45%	272	222.5	173
6	NO	Chris Olave	WR6	144	26.18%	274	227.0	180
7	CHI	DJ Moore	WR7	115	26.14%	216.5	181.5	146.5
8	ATL	Drake London	WR8	123	25.89%	222.5	182.0	141.5
9	PHI	AJ Brown	WR9	138	25.56%	284.5	242.0	199.5
10	NYJ	Garrett Wilson	WR10	157	25.32%	292	241.5	191
11	PIT	Diontae Johnson	WR11	150	25.00%	233	185.5	138
12	DAL	CeeDee Lamb	WR12	150	25.00%	293	241.5	190
13	TEN	Treylon Burks	WR13	118	24.84%	220.5	186.0	151.5
14	DET	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR14	150	24.79%	269	215.0	161
15	CIN	Ja’Marr Chase	WR15	151	24.35%	327	273.5	220
16	PHI	DeVonta Smith	WR16	130	24.07%	264	217.5	171
17	SEA	DK Metcalf	WR17	132	22.96%	258	216.0	174
18	IND	Michael Pittman Jr.	WR18	124	22.75%	208.5	168.0	127.5
19	WAS	Terry McLaurin	WR19	125	22.52%	234	194.5	155
20	ARI	Marquise Brown	WR20	132	22.37%	206	165.5	125
21	CLE	Amari Cooper	WR21	130	22.22%	241.5	201.0	160.5
22	MIA	Jaylen Waddle	WR22	130	22.03%	265	223.5	182
23	TB	Chris Godwin	WR23	131	22.02%	220	180.0	140
24	KC	Travis Kelce	TE1	145	21.97%	289.5	238.5	187.5
25	JAX	Christian Kirk	WR24	135	21.95%	236	193.0	150
26	JAX	Calvin Ridley	WR25	132	21.46%	234.5	193.0	151.5
27	BAL	Mark Andrews	TE2	120	21.05%	231.5	189.5	147.5
28	ATL	Kyle Pitts	TE3	100	21.05%	183.5	150.5	117.5
29	SF	Deebo Samuel	WR26	113	20.93%	230.5	196.5	162.5
30	GB	Christian Watson	WR27	110	20.18%	225	192.0	159
31	NYG	Darren Waller	TE4	110	20.00%	190.5	155.0	119.5
32	WAS	Jahan Dotson	WR28	110	19.82%	203	167.5	132
33	DEN	Jerry Jeudy	WR29	116	19.66%	220	182.0	144
34	SF	Brandon Aiyuk	WR30	106	19.63%	200	165.0	130
35	CIN	Tee Higgins	WR31	119	19.19%	236.5	197.0	157.5
36	PIT	George Pickens	WR32	115	19.17%	201	168.5	136
37	TB	Mike Evans	WR33	114	19.16%	198.5	165.0	131.5
38	SEA	Tyler Lockett	WR34	108	18.78%	220.5	181.5	142.5
39	LAC	Keenan Allen	WR35	125	18.38%	234	190.0	146
40	GB	Romeo Doubs	WR36	100	18.35%	172	140.0	108
41	MIN	TJ Hockenson	TE5	120	18.18%	197	159.0	121
42	TEN	Chigoziem Okonkwo	TE6	86	18.11%	169.5	139.0	108.5
43	CAR	Adam Thielen	WR37	98	17.82%	156.5	125.5	94.5
44	NE	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR38	100	17.70%	167.5	134.5	101.5
45	DAL	Brandin Cooks	WR39	105	17.50%	203.5	169.0	134.5
46	PIT	Pat Freiermuth	TE7	105	17.50%	176.5	141.5	106.5
47	MIN	Jordan Addison	WR40	115	17.42%	202.5	163.5	124.5
48	BAL	Rashod Bateman	WR41	99	17.37%	179	149.5	120
49	BUF	Gabe Davis	WR42	103	17.17%	191.5	164.5	137.5
50	CLE	Elijah Moore	WR43	100	17.09%	175.5	141.5	107.5
51	CAR	Jonathan Mingo	WR44	94	17.09%	154	125.0	96
52	SF	Christian McCaffrey	RB1	92	17.04%	325.5	288.5	251.5
53	PHI	Dallas Goedert	TE8	92	17.04%	187.5	152.5	117.5
54	LAC	Austin Ekeler	RB2	115	16.91%	335	289.5	244
55	SF	George Kittle	TE9	90	16.67%	180.5	148.0	115.5
56	LV	Jakobi Meyers	WR45	100	16.53%	183	147.0	111
57	HOU	Nico Collins	WR46	90	16.36%	150.5	123.5	96.5
58	DEN	Courtland Sutton	WR47	96	16.27%	179.5	148.5	117.5
59	IND	Alec Pierce	WR48	88	16.15%	143.5	119.5	95.5
60	SEA	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR49	90	15.65%	169.5	138.0	106.5
61	BAL	Zay Flowers	WR50	89	15.61%	145	119.0	93
62	NYG	Isaiah Hodgins	WR51	85	15.45%	165.5	133.0	100.5
63	CHI	Darnell Mooney	WR52	68	15.45%	116.5	95.5	74.5
64	LAC	Mike Williams	WR53	105	15.44%	195	163.0	131
65	NO	Juwan Johnson	TE10	83	15.09%	159	130.0	101
66	NE	DeVante Parker	WR54	85	15.04%	156.5	129.5	102.5
67	LAR	Van Jefferson	WR55	90	15.00%	161.5	134.0	106.5
68	LAR	Tyler Higbee	TE11	90	15.00%	156.5	125.5	94.5
69	DAL	Michael Gallup	WR56	90	15.00%	167	140.0	113
70	JAX	Evan Engram	TE12	92	14.96%	168.5	135.0	101.5
71	DET	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB3	90	14.88%	256	222.0	188
72	CHI	Cole Kmet	TE13	65	14.77%	126.5	103.5	80.5
73	BAL	Odell Beckham Jr.	WR57	84	14.74%	136.5	111.5	86.5
74	NE	Tyquan Thornton	WR58	83	14.69%	145	121.0	97
75	NYJ	Allen Lazard	WR59	91	14.68%	164.5	135.5	106.5
76	DEN	Tim Patrick	WR60	86	14.58%	146	117.5	89
77	NYG	Saquon Barkley	RB4	80	14.55%	285	255.0	225.0
78	HOU	Dalton Schultz	TE14	80	14.55%	138	110.5	83
79	NYG	Parris Campbell	WR61	80	14.55%	138	108.5	79.0
80	CLE	David Njoku	TE15	85	14.53%	161.5	131.0	100.5
81	GB	Jayden Reed	WR62	79	14.50%	126	102.5	79
82	JAX	Zay Jones	WR63	89	14.47%	144.5	115.5	86.5
83	MIN	KJ Osborn	WR64	95	14.39%	138.5	111.0	83.5
84	ARI	Rondale Moore	WR65	84	14.24%	146	115.0	84
85	LV	Hunter Renfrow	WR66	85	14.05%	142.5	114.5	86.5
86	NO	Michael Thomas	WR67	77	14.00%	133.5	108.5	83.5
87	TEN	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	WR68	65	13.68%	89.5	73.0	56.5
88	CLE	Donovan Peoples-Jones	WR69	80	13.68%	144.5	119.0	93.5
89	HOU	Robert Woods	WR70	75	13.64%	122	100.0	78
90	HOU	John Metchie	WR71	75	13.64%	122.5	100.0	77.5
91	CAR	DJ Chark	WR72	75	13.64%	129.5	107.5	85.5
92	NYG	Darius Slayton	WR73	75	13.64%	127.5	105.0	82.5
93	IND	Josh Downs	WR74	74	13.58%	124.5	100.0	75.5
94	WAS	Curtis Samuel	WR75	75	13.51%	145	120.0	95
95	TB	Russell Gage	WR76	80	13.45%	128.5	102.0	75.5
96	NE	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB5	75	13.27%	273	242.0	211
97	LAC	Quentin Johnston	WR77	90	13.24%	165	140.0	115
98	CIN	Tyler Boyd	WR78	80	12.90%	153.5	125.5	97.5
99	NYJ	Tyler Conklin	TE16	77	12.42%	127.5	102.0	76.5
100	DET	Jameson Williams	WR79	75	12.40%	146	125.5	105

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Running Backs: (84% correlation)

Rank		Player	Targets	Target Share	PPR	1/2 PPR	Standard
1	SF	Christian McCaffrey	92	17.04%	325.5	288.5	251.5
2	LAC	Austin Ekeler	115	16.91%	335	289.5	244
3	DET	Jahmyr Gibbs	90	14.88%	256	222.0	188
4	NYG	Saquon Barkley	80	14.55%	285	255.0	225.0
5	NE	Rhamondre Stevenson	75	13.27%	273	242.0	211
6	CIN	Joe Mixon	73	11.77%	228.5	200.0	171.5
7	TB	Rachaad White	70	11.76%	216.5	189.0	161.5
8	GB	Aaron Jones	64	11.74%	227	202.0	177
9	WAS	Antonio Gibson	65	11.71%	165	141.0	117
10	ATL	Bijan Robinson	51	10.74%	295.5	276.0	256.5
11	NO	Alvin Kamara	58	10.55%	193	171.5	150
12	DAL	Tony Pollard	60	10.00%	276	253.5	231
13	KC	Jerick McKinnon	65	9.85%	144	119.0	94
14	BUF	James Cook	58	9.67%	215.5	192.5	169.5
15	JAX	Travis Etienne	58	9.43%	222.5	200.0	177.5
16	ARI	James Conner	55	9.32%	217	195.5	174
17	IND	Jonathan Taylor	50	9.17%	284	265.5	247
18	LV	Josh Jacobs	55	9.09%	271	249.0	227
19	PIT	Najee Harris	50	8.33%	236	216.0	196
20	TEN	Derrick Henry	39	8.21%	271	256.0	241
21	HOU	Dameon Pierce	45	8.18%	226	208.5	191
22	CAR	Miles Sanders	45	8.18%	213	194.5	176
23	GB	AJ Dillon	44	8.07%	189	172.0	155
24	NYJ	Breece Hall	49	7.90%	234	216.0	198
25	DEN	Javonte Williams	46	7.80%	187.5	170.5	153.5
26	CLE	Jerome Ford	45	7.69%	82	76.0	70
27	DEN	Samaje Perine	45	7.63%	173	156.0	139
28	TEN	Tyjae Spears	36	7.58%	111.5	98.5	85.5
29	SEA	Kenneth Walker III	40	6.96%	227	211.5	196
30	CLE	Nick Chubb	40	6.84%	284	267.5	251