2023 Projected Opportunity Share

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Opportunity Share is the amount of rushing attempts + receptions a player gets divided by the total amount of plays ran within his offense. The higher the opportunity share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that touches have an 92% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 95% for WRs and 98% for TE. In that article, I used Targets for WR and TE, since that is the majority of their opportunities, whereas the RB chart actually listed Touches. Opportunity Share is a useful stat for all three, and is easily my favorite of the 3 stats above. Below you will find our projected opportunity share’s for 2023.


Running Backs: (92% correlation) + Wide Receivers: (95% correlation)

RankPlayerPos.RuAttRecTouchesOpp. Share
1TENDerrick HenryRB3253235736.44%
2LVJosh JacobsRB2954433933.56%
3NYGSaquon BarkleyRB2905734733.49%
4ATLBijan RobinsonRB2853832331.75%
5CLENick ChubbRB2953533030.91%
6HOUDameon PierceRB2654030530.29%
7SFChristian McCaffreyRB2157328829.90%
8DALTony PollardRB2554830329.72%
9ARIJames ConnerRB2454629128.77%
10CINJoe MixonRB2255327827.44%
11LACAustin EkelerRB1958728227.03%
12TBRachaad WhiteRB1955825326.73%
13CARMiles SandersRB2254026526.44%
14PITNajee HarrisRB2453528026.24%
15NERhamondre StevensonRB1955625126.24%
16DETDavid MontgomeryRB2452627125.57%
17SEAKenneth Walker IIIRB2352425925.48%
18JAXTravis EtienneRB2254226725.35%
19WASBrian RobinsonRB2452727225.23%
20LARCam AkersRB2252525025.12%
21GBAaron JonesRB1955024524.64%
22MINAlexander MattisonRB2253726224.62%
23BALJK DobbinsRB2252625123.08%
24INDJonathan TaylorRB2152524022.73%
25NYJBreece HallRB1903922922.22%
26KCIsiah PachecoRB2152023521.92%
27DENJavonte WilliamsRB1753921421.64%
28BUFJames CookRB1604820821.52%
29CHIKhalil HerbertRB1901820821.29%
30GBAJ DillonRB1852921420.85%
31DETJahmyr GibbsRB1306719720.09%
32DENSamaje PerineRB1653119619.76%
33MIARaheem MostertRB1602218218.72%
34NOAlvin KamaraRB1205517518.63%
35NYJDalvin CookRB1602718718.06%
36WASAntonio GibsonRB1155617116.67%
37MINJustin JeffersonWR512012516.47%
38PHID’Andre SwiftRB1353717216.29%
39PITJaylen WarrenRB1353617116.29%
40MIATyreek HillWR1010411415.86%
41LVDavante AdamsWR10010015.82%
42MIAJeff Wilson Jr.RB1302115115.76%
43NOJamaal WilliamsRB1451215715.69%
44LARCooper KuppWR510410915.46%
45CINJa’Marr ChaseWR710811515.07%
46DETAmon-Ra St. BrownWR1010811815.07%
47BUFStefon DiggsWR310110414.57%
48SFDeebo SamuelWR356910414.51%
49DALCeeDee LambWR1010011014.49%
50PITDiontae JohnsonWR109310314.39%
51NYJGarrett WilsonWR59710214.35%
52TBChris GodwinWR5859013.86%
53MIAJaylen WaddleWR5889313.69%
54TENDeAndre HopkinsWR848413.47%
55ATLTyler AllgeierRB1251113613.27%
56NOChris OlaveWR5848913.24%
57SEADK MetcalfWR2878913.17%
58ARIMarquise BrownWR5848912.92%
59JAXCalvin RidleyWR3838612.81%
60ATLDrake LondonWR2858712.51%
61TENTyjae SpearsRB853111612.38%
62NEEzekiel ElliottRB952411912.38%
63JAXChristian KirkWR6828812.35%
64KCTravis KelceTE989812.33%
65PHIAJ BrownWR2838512.31%
66PHIDeVonta SmithWR3909312.31%
67SEATyler LockettWR3868912.31%
68INDMichael Pittman Jr.WR5747912.27%
69PHIKenneth GainwellRB953212712.22%
70CHIDJ MooreWR5758012.18%
71LACKeenan AllenWR898912.16%
72MINTy ChandlerRB1101812812.16%
73SEAZach CharbonnetRB952411912.02%
74GBChristian WatsonWR10687811.85%
75WASTerry McLaurinWR10748411.71%
76LACJoshua KelleyRB1002012011.71%
77LARKyren WilliamsRB952111611.59%
78SFBrandon AiyukWR5737811.57%
79JAXTank BigsbyRB1051612111.52%
80CLEAmari CooperWR808011.36%
81MINTJ HockensonTE787811.31%
82WASJahan DotsonWR5747911.26%
83CINTee HigginsWR797911.16%
84TBMike EvansWR656510.89%
85TENTreylon BurksWR10657510.89%
86PITGeorge PickensWR5687310.86%
87DENCourtland SuttonWR5737810.82%
88HOUNico CollinsWR616110.58%
89MINJordan AddisonWR5768110.50%
90BALMark AndrewsTE818110.41%
91BALZay FlowersWR10617110.41%
92CHID’Onta ForemanRB95710210.40%
93LACMike WilliamsWR757510.36%
94CARAdam ThielenWR676710.10%
95HOUDevin SingletaryRB80179710.10%
96CARChuba HubbardRB901210210.10%
97DALBrandin CooksWR3707310.09%
98NYGDarren WallerTE787810.09%
99BUFLatavius MurrayRB851510010.00%
100LVJakobi MeyersWR469739.97%

Tight Ends: (98% correlation)

PlayerPos.RuAttRecTouchesOpp. Share
1KCTravis KelceTE989812.33%
2MINTJ HockensonTE787811.31%
3BALMark AndrewsTE818110.41%
4NYGDarren WallerTE787810.09%
5ATLKyle PittsTE69699.95%
6NOTaysom HillTE8013939.80%
7PHIDallas GoedertTE76769.05%
8JAXEvan EngramTE367708.76%
9LARTyler HigbeeTE62628.70%
10PITPat FreiermuthTE66668.69%
11SFGeorge KittleTE61618.33%
12CLEDavid NjokuTE361648.00%
13HOUDalton SchultzTE55557.69%
14GBLuke MusgraveTE51517.58%
15DALJake FergusonTE55557.01%
16NEHunter HenryTE47476.93%
17LACGerald EverettTE53536.76%
18CARHayden HurstTE45456.73%
19NYJTyler ConklinTE50506.48%
20BUFDalton KincaidTE48486.48%
21CHICole KmetTE45456.44%
22TENChigoziem OkonkwoTE45456.44%
23TBCade OttonTE44446.44%
24SEANoah FantTE43436.25%
25ARITrey McBrideTE44446.13%