2023 Projected Opportunity Share

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Opportunity Share is the amount of rushing attempts + targets a player gets divided by the total amount of plays ran within his offense. The higher the opportunity share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that touches have an 92% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 95% for WRs and 98% for TE. In that article, I used Targets for WR and TE, since that is the majority of their opportunities, whereas the RB chart actually listed Touches. Opportunity Share is a useful stat for all three, and is easily my favorite of the 3 stats above. Below you will find our projected opportunity share’s for 2023.


Running Backs: (92% correlation)

Wide Receivers: (95% correlation)

RankPlayerPos.RuAttRecTargetsTouchesOpp. SharePPR1/2 PPRStandard
1TENDerrick HenryRB1320303935037.01%271256.0241
2LVJosh JacobsRB2305445534934.78%271249.0227
3ATLBijan RobinsonRB3305395134434.73%295.5276.0256.5
4NYGSaquon BarkleyRB4280608034033.64%285255.0225.0
5INDJonathan TaylorRB5315375035232.44%284265.5247
6CLENick ChubbRB6305334033830.40%284267.5251
7NERhamondre StevensonRB7235627529730.24%273242.0211
8SFChristian McCaffreyRB8220749229429.30%325.5288.5251.5
9HOUDameon PierceRB9255354529029.13%226208.5191
10PITNajee HarrisRB10255405029528.11%236216.0196
11TBRachaad WhiteRB11215557027027.80%216.5189.0161.5
12LACAustin EkelerRB121959111528627.68%335289.5244
13SEAKenneth Walker IIIRB13245314027627.67%227211.5196
14DALTony PollardRB14245456029027.48%276253.5231
15CINJoe MixonRB15205577326226.99%228.5200.0171.5
16NYJBreece HallRB16235364927126.92%234216.0198
17CARMiles SandersRB17225374526226.60%213194.5176
18BALJK DobbinsRB18252243227625.70%231219.0207
19ARIJames ConnerRB19215435525825.59%217195.5174
20LARCam AkersRB20225304025525.36%206191.0176
21GBAaron JonesRB21195506424524.67%227202.0177
22MINAlexander MattisonRB22225323925724.22%206190.0174
23DETDavid MontgomeryRB23245152026024.20%205197.5190
24JAXTravis EtienneRB24195455824023.76%222.5200.0177.5
25BUFJames CookRB25185465823122.92%215.5192.5169.5
26WASBrian RobinsonRB26240131925322.82%168.5162.0155.5
27GBAJ DillonRB27190344422422.29%189172.0155
28KCIsiah PachecoRB28215192523421.72%188.5179.0169.5
29DENJavonte WilliamsRB29175344620920.75%187.5170.5153.5
30DETJahmyr GibbsRB30128689019619.91%256222.0188
31NOAlvin KamaraRB31145435818819.80%193171.5150
32DENSamaje PerineRB32150344518418.31%173156.0139
33MINJustin JeffersonWR1512118012616.97%355294.5234
34LARCooper KuppWR2711617012316.94%324.5266.5208.5
35MIATyreek HillWR31010816011816.67%324270.0216
36MIARaheem MostertRB33135233215816.37%151.5140.0128.5
37WASAntonio GibsonRB34120486516816.30%165141.0117
38PHID’Andre SwiftRB35145273417216.20%140126.5113
39LVDavante AdamsWR429916010115.65%272222.5173
40BUFStefon DiggsWR5310616010915.38%301.5248.5195.5
41NYJGarrett WilsonWR6510115710615.36%292241.5191
42CINJa’Marr ChaseWR7710715111415.34%327273.5220
43SFDeebo SamuelWR8456811311314.84%230.5196.5162.5
44PITDiontae JohnsonWR9109515010514.75%233185.5138
45DETAmon-Ra St. BrownWR101010815011814.61%269215.0161
46NOChris OlaveWR115941449914.54%274227.0180
47DALCeeDee LambWR121010315011314.41%293241.5190
48CHIKhalil HerbertRB36130121514214.29%109103.097
49CHID’Onta ForemanRB3713581014314.29%113109.0105
50MIADe’Von AchaneRB38115212813614.02%117106.596
51PITJaylen WarrenRB39105304013513.36%132117.0102
52TBChris GodwinWR135801318513.27%220180.0140
53JAXChristian KirkWR146861359213.24%236193.0150
54MIAJaylen WaddleWR155831308813.24%265223.5182
55CLEJerome FordRB40105124511713.22%8276.070
56TENTreylon BurksWR1610691187913.20%220.5186.0151.5
57KCTravis KelceTE110214510213.12%289.5238.5187.5
58SEADK MetcalfWR172841328613.01%258216.0174
59ARIMarquise BrownWR185811328612.99%206165.5125
60MIAJeff Wilson Jr.RB41105182512312.75%106.597.588.5
61JAXCalvin RidleyWR193831328612.68%234.5193.0151.5
62PHIAJ BrownWR202851388712.67%284.5242.0199.5
63HOUDevin SingletaryRB4295253512012.62%10087.575
64SEAZach CharbonnetRB43105202512512.62%9686.076
65SFElijah MitchellRB4412091212912.39%95.591.086.5
66CHIRoschon JohnsonRB4595233011812.32%9583.572
67ATLDrake LondonWR212811238312.20%222.5182.0141.5
68PHIDeVonta SmithWR223931309612.04%264217.5171
69NOJamaal WilliamsRB46105131811812.00%111104.598
70WASTerry McLaurinWR2310791258911.89%234194.5155
71CHIDJ MooreWR245701157511.82%216.5181.5146.5
72CARChuba HubbardRB4790243011411.82%115103.091
73JAXTank BigsbyRB48105162012111.74%115107.099
74LACJoshua KelleyRB49100203012011.61%92.582.572.5
75CINTee HigginsWR25791197911.55%236.5197.0157.5
76INDMichael Pittman Jr.WR265811248611.47%208.5168.0127.5
77CLEAmari CooperWR27811308111.45%241.5201.0160.5
78TENTyjae SpearsRB5075263610111.44%111.598.585.5
79GBChristian WatsonWR2810661107611.43%225192.0159
80LACKeenan AllenWR293881259111.43%234190.0146
81DENJerry JeudyWR305761168111.36%220182.0144
82ATLTyler AllgeierRB5110571111211.32%80.577.073.5
83TBMike EvansWR31671146711.12%198.5165.0131.5
84PITGeorge PickensWR325651157011.06%201168.5136
85MINJordan AddisonWR335781158311.01%202.5163.5124.5
86MINTJ HockensonTE2761207611.01%197159.0121
87BALMark AndrewsTE3841208410.86%231.5189.5147.5
88KCJerick McKinnonRB5255506510510.86%144119.094
89BUFDamien HarrisRB5395142010910.85%94.587.580.5
90SEATyler LockettWR343781088110.78%220.5181.5142.5
91PHIRashaad PennyRB541153411810.77%9189.588
92ARIKeaontay IngramRB5585182510310.43%8374.065
93SFBrandon AiyukWR355701067510.42%200165.0130
94NYGDarren WallerTE4711107110.28%190.5155.0119.5
95NOKendre MillerRB568018249810.15%8677.068
96WASJahan DotsonWR365711107610.13%203167.5132
97LVJakobi MeyersWR374721007610.05%183147.0111
98PHIKenneth GainwellRB578025301059.95%10390.578
99DALMalik DavisRB589511151069.91%8579.574
100NEJuJu Smith-SchusterWR3866100669.76%167.5134.5101.5

Tight Ends: (98% correlation)

RankPlayerRuAttRecTargetsTouchesOpp. SharePPR1/2 PPRStandard
1KCTravis Kelce10214510213.12%289.5238.5187.5
2MINTJ Hockenson761207611.01%197159.0121
3BALMark Andrews841208410.86%231.5189.5147.5
4NYGDarren Waller711107110.28%190.5155.0119.5
5ATLKyle Pitts66100669.76%183.5150.5117.5
6PITPat Freiermuth70105709.68%176.5141.5106.5
7JAXEvan Engram36792708.92%168.5135.0101.5
8TENChigoziem Okonkwo6186618.87%169.5139.0108.5
9LARTyler Higbee6290628.61%156.5125.594.5
10SFGeorge Kittle6590658.45%180.5148.0115.5
11PHIDallas Goedert7092708.33%187.5152.5117.5
12NOTaysom Hill70915798.29%88.478.579.4
13NOJuwan Johnson5883588.10%159130.0101
14HOUDalton Schultz5580557.77%138110.583
15CLEDavid Njoku36185647.75%161.5131.0100.5
16NYJTyler Conklin5177517.30%127.5102.076.5
17LACGerald Everett5680567.14%132.5104.576.5
18SEANoah Fant4568456.60%111.589.066.5
19CARHayden Hurst4265426.40%104.583.562.5
20CHICole Kmet4665466.40%126.5103.580.5
21TBCade Otton4465446.34%118.596.574.5
22DALJake Ferguson4970496.31%123.599.074.5
23CINIrv Smith Jr.4560455.83%111.589.066.5
24INDJelani Woods4065405.78%113.593.573.5
25BUFDawson Knox4160415.66%10685.565
26DETSam LaPorta4160415.48%111.591.070.5
27ARITrey McBride3857385.40%96.577.558.5
28NEHunter Henry3855385.37%96.577.558.5
29BALIsaiah Likely3958395.25%98.579.059.5
30DENGreg Dulcich3755375.16%96.578.059.5