
Opportunity Share is the amount of rushing attempts + receptions a player gets divided by the total amount of plays ran within his offense. The higher the opportunity share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that touches have an 92% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 95% for WRs and 98% for TE. In that article, I used Targets for WR and TE, since that is the majority of their opportunities, whereas the RB chart actually listed Touches. Opportunity Share is a useful stat for all three, and is easily my favorite of the 3 stats above. Below you will find our projected opportunity share’s for 2023.
Running Backs: (92% correlation) + Wide Receivers: (95% correlation)
Rank | Player | Pos. | RuAtt | Rec | Touches | Opp. Share | |
1 | TEN | Derrick Henry | RB | 325 | 32 | 357 | 36.44% |
2 | LV | Josh Jacobs | RB | 295 | 44 | 339 | 33.56% |
3 | NYG | Saquon Barkley | RB | 290 | 57 | 347 | 33.49% |
4 | ATL | Bijan Robinson | RB | 285 | 38 | 323 | 31.75% |
5 | CLE | Nick Chubb | RB | 295 | 35 | 330 | 30.91% |
6 | HOU | Dameon Pierce | RB | 265 | 40 | 305 | 30.29% |
7 | SF | Christian McCaffrey | RB | 215 | 73 | 288 | 29.90% |
8 | DAL | Tony Pollard | RB | 255 | 48 | 303 | 29.72% |
9 | ARI | James Conner | RB | 245 | 46 | 291 | 28.77% |
10 | CIN | Joe Mixon | RB | 225 | 53 | 278 | 27.44% |
11 | LAC | Austin Ekeler | RB | 195 | 87 | 282 | 27.03% |
12 | TB | Rachaad White | RB | 195 | 58 | 253 | 26.73% |
13 | CAR | Miles Sanders | RB | 225 | 40 | 265 | 26.44% |
14 | PIT | Najee Harris | RB | 245 | 35 | 280 | 26.24% |
15 | NE | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 195 | 56 | 251 | 26.24% |
16 | DET | David Montgomery | RB | 245 | 26 | 271 | 25.57% |
17 | SEA | Kenneth Walker III | RB | 235 | 24 | 259 | 25.48% |
18 | JAX | Travis Etienne | RB | 225 | 42 | 267 | 25.35% |
19 | WAS | Brian Robinson | RB | 245 | 27 | 272 | 25.23% |
20 | LAR | Cam Akers | RB | 225 | 25 | 250 | 25.12% |
21 | GB | Aaron Jones | RB | 195 | 50 | 245 | 24.64% |
22 | MIN | Alexander Mattison | RB | 225 | 37 | 262 | 24.62% |
23 | BAL | JK Dobbins | RB | 225 | 26 | 251 | 23.08% |
24 | IND | Jonathan Taylor | RB | 215 | 25 | 240 | 22.73% |
25 | NYJ | Breece Hall | RB | 190 | 39 | 229 | 22.22% |
26 | KC | Isiah Pacheco | RB | 215 | 20 | 235 | 21.92% |
27 | DEN | Javonte Williams | RB | 175 | 39 | 214 | 21.64% |
28 | BUF | James Cook | RB | 160 | 48 | 208 | 21.52% |
29 | CHI | Khalil Herbert | RB | 190 | 18 | 208 | 21.29% |
30 | GB | AJ Dillon | RB | 185 | 29 | 214 | 20.85% |
31 | DET | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 130 | 67 | 197 | 20.09% |
32 | DEN | Samaje Perine | RB | 165 | 31 | 196 | 19.76% |
33 | MIA | Raheem Mostert | RB | 160 | 22 | 182 | 18.72% |
34 | NO | Alvin Kamara | RB | 120 | 55 | 175 | 18.63% |
35 | NYJ | Dalvin Cook | RB | 160 | 27 | 187 | 18.06% |
36 | WAS | Antonio Gibson | RB | 115 | 56 | 171 | 16.67% |
37 | MIN | Justin Jefferson | WR | 5 | 120 | 125 | 16.47% |
38 | PHI | D’Andre Swift | RB | 135 | 37 | 172 | 16.29% |
39 | PIT | Jaylen Warren | RB | 135 | 36 | 171 | 16.29% |
40 | MIA | Tyreek Hill | WR | 10 | 104 | 114 | 15.86% |
41 | LV | Davante Adams | WR | 100 | 100 | 15.82% | |
42 | MIA | Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | 130 | 21 | 151 | 15.76% |
43 | NO | Jamaal Williams | RB | 145 | 12 | 157 | 15.69% |
44 | LAR | Cooper Kupp | WR | 5 | 104 | 109 | 15.46% |
45 | CIN | Ja’Marr Chase | WR | 7 | 108 | 115 | 15.07% |
46 | DET | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 10 | 108 | 118 | 15.07% |
47 | BUF | Stefon Diggs | WR | 3 | 101 | 104 | 14.57% |
48 | SF | Deebo Samuel | WR | 35 | 69 | 104 | 14.51% |
49 | DAL | CeeDee Lamb | WR | 10 | 100 | 110 | 14.49% |
50 | PIT | Diontae Johnson | WR | 10 | 93 | 103 | 14.39% |
51 | NYJ | Garrett Wilson | WR | 5 | 97 | 102 | 14.35% |
52 | TB | Chris Godwin | WR | 5 | 85 | 90 | 13.86% |
53 | MIA | Jaylen Waddle | WR | 5 | 88 | 93 | 13.69% |
54 | TEN | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 84 | 84 | 13.47% | |
55 | ATL | Tyler Allgeier | RB | 125 | 11 | 136 | 13.27% |
56 | NO | Chris Olave | WR | 5 | 84 | 89 | 13.24% |
57 | SEA | DK Metcalf | WR | 2 | 87 | 89 | 13.17% |
58 | ARI | Marquise Brown | WR | 5 | 84 | 89 | 12.92% |
59 | JAX | Calvin Ridley | WR | 3 | 83 | 86 | 12.81% |
60 | ATL | Drake London | WR | 2 | 85 | 87 | 12.51% |
61 | TEN | Tyjae Spears | RB | 85 | 31 | 116 | 12.38% |
62 | NE | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | 95 | 24 | 119 | 12.38% |
63 | JAX | Christian Kirk | WR | 6 | 82 | 88 | 12.35% |
64 | KC | Travis Kelce | TE | 98 | 98 | 12.33% | |
65 | PHI | AJ Brown | WR | 2 | 83 | 85 | 12.31% |
66 | PHI | DeVonta Smith | WR | 3 | 90 | 93 | 12.31% |
67 | SEA | Tyler Lockett | WR | 3 | 86 | 89 | 12.31% |
68 | IND | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | 5 | 74 | 79 | 12.27% |
69 | PHI | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | 95 | 32 | 127 | 12.22% |
70 | CHI | DJ Moore | WR | 5 | 75 | 80 | 12.18% |
71 | LAC | Keenan Allen | WR | 89 | 89 | 12.16% | |
72 | MIN | Ty Chandler | RB | 110 | 18 | 128 | 12.16% |
73 | SEA | Zach Charbonnet | RB | 95 | 24 | 119 | 12.02% |
74 | GB | Christian Watson | WR | 10 | 68 | 78 | 11.85% |
75 | WAS | Terry McLaurin | WR | 10 | 74 | 84 | 11.71% |
76 | LAC | Joshua Kelley | RB | 100 | 20 | 120 | 11.71% |
77 | LAR | Kyren Williams | RB | 95 | 21 | 116 | 11.59% |
78 | SF | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | 5 | 73 | 78 | 11.57% |
79 | JAX | Tank Bigsby | RB | 105 | 16 | 121 | 11.52% |
80 | CLE | Amari Cooper | WR | 80 | 80 | 11.36% | |
81 | MIN | TJ Hockenson | TE | 78 | 78 | 11.31% | |
82 | WAS | Jahan Dotson | WR | 5 | 74 | 79 | 11.26% |
83 | CIN | Tee Higgins | WR | 79 | 79 | 11.16% | |
84 | TB | Mike Evans | WR | 65 | 65 | 10.89% | |
85 | TEN | Treylon Burks | WR | 10 | 65 | 75 | 10.89% |
86 | PIT | George Pickens | WR | 5 | 68 | 73 | 10.86% |
87 | DEN | Courtland Sutton | WR | 5 | 73 | 78 | 10.82% |
88 | HOU | Nico Collins | WR | 61 | 61 | 10.58% | |
89 | MIN | Jordan Addison | WR | 5 | 76 | 81 | 10.50% |
90 | BAL | Mark Andrews | TE | 81 | 81 | 10.41% | |
91 | BAL | Zay Flowers | WR | 10 | 61 | 71 | 10.41% |
92 | CHI | D’Onta Foreman | RB | 95 | 7 | 102 | 10.40% |
93 | LAC | Mike Williams | WR | 75 | 75 | 10.36% | |
94 | CAR | Adam Thielen | WR | 67 | 67 | 10.10% | |
95 | HOU | Devin Singletary | RB | 80 | 17 | 97 | 10.10% |
96 | CAR | Chuba Hubbard | RB | 90 | 12 | 102 | 10.10% |
97 | DAL | Brandin Cooks | WR | 3 | 70 | 73 | 10.09% |
98 | NYG | Darren Waller | TE | 78 | 78 | 10.09% | |
99 | BUF | Latavius Murray | RB | 85 | 15 | 100 | 10.00% |
100 | LV | Jakobi Meyers | WR | 4 | 69 | 73 | 9.97% |
Tight Ends: (98% correlation)
Player | Pos. | RuAtt | Rec | Touches | Opp. Share | ||
1 | KC | Travis Kelce | TE | 98 | 98 | 12.33% | |
2 | MIN | TJ Hockenson | TE | 78 | 78 | 11.31% | |
3 | BAL | Mark Andrews | TE | 81 | 81 | 10.41% | |
4 | NYG | Darren Waller | TE | 78 | 78 | 10.09% | |
5 | ATL | Kyle Pitts | TE | 69 | 69 | 9.95% | |
6 | NO | Taysom Hill | TE | 80 | 13 | 93 | 9.80% |
7 | PHI | Dallas Goedert | TE | 76 | 76 | 9.05% | |
8 | JAX | Evan Engram | TE | 3 | 67 | 70 | 8.76% |
9 | LAR | Tyler Higbee | TE | 62 | 62 | 8.70% | |
10 | PIT | Pat Freiermuth | TE | 66 | 66 | 8.69% | |
11 | SF | George Kittle | TE | 61 | 61 | 8.33% | |
12 | CLE | David Njoku | TE | 3 | 61 | 64 | 8.00% |
13 | HOU | Dalton Schultz | TE | 55 | 55 | 7.69% | |
14 | GB | Luke Musgrave | TE | 51 | 51 | 7.58% | |
15 | DAL | Jake Ferguson | TE | 55 | 55 | 7.01% | |
16 | NE | Hunter Henry | TE | 47 | 47 | 6.93% | |
17 | LAC | Gerald Everett | TE | 53 | 53 | 6.76% | |
18 | CAR | Hayden Hurst | TE | 45 | 45 | 6.73% | |
19 | NYJ | Tyler Conklin | TE | 50 | 50 | 6.48% | |
20 | BUF | Dalton Kincaid | TE | 48 | 48 | 6.48% | |
21 | CHI | Cole Kmet | TE | 45 | 45 | 6.44% | |
22 | TEN | Chigoziem Okonkwo | TE | 45 | 45 | 6.44% | |
23 | TB | Cade Otton | TE | 44 | 44 | 6.44% | |
24 | SEA | Noah Fant | TE | 43 | 43 | 6.25% | |
25 | ARI | Trey McBride | TE | 44 | 44 | 6.13% |