
Opportunity Share is the amount of rushing attempts + targets a player gets divided by the total amount of plays ran within his offense. The higher the opportunity share, the more involved they are in their offense. In this article by Kenny Hyttenhove, we find out that touches have an 92% correlation to PPR Points for RBs, 95% for WRs and 98% for TE. In that article, I used Targets for WR and TE, since that is the majority of their opportunities, whereas the RB chart actually listed Touches. Opportunity Share is a useful stat for all three, and is easily my favorite of the 3 stats above. Below you will find our projected opportunity share’s for 2023.
Running Backs: (92% correlation)
Wide Receivers: (95% correlation)
Rank | Player | Pos. | RuAtt | Rec | Targets | Touches | Opp. Share | PPR | 1/2 PPR | Standard | |
1 | TEN | Derrick Henry | RB1 | 320 | 30 | 39 | 350 | 37.01% | 271 | 256.0 | 241 |
2 | LV | Josh Jacobs | RB2 | 305 | 44 | 55 | 349 | 34.78% | 271 | 249.0 | 227 |
3 | ATL | Bijan Robinson | RB3 | 305 | 39 | 51 | 344 | 34.73% | 295.5 | 276.0 | 256.5 |
4 | NYG | Saquon Barkley | RB4 | 280 | 60 | 80 | 340 | 33.64% | 285 | 255.0 | 225.0 |
5 | IND | Jonathan Taylor | RB5 | 315 | 37 | 50 | 352 | 32.44% | 284 | 265.5 | 247 |
6 | CLE | Nick Chubb | RB6 | 305 | 33 | 40 | 338 | 30.40% | 284 | 267.5 | 251 |
7 | NE | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB7 | 235 | 62 | 75 | 297 | 30.24% | 273 | 242.0 | 211 |
8 | SF | Christian McCaffrey | RB8 | 220 | 74 | 92 | 294 | 29.30% | 325.5 | 288.5 | 251.5 |
9 | HOU | Dameon Pierce | RB9 | 255 | 35 | 45 | 290 | 29.13% | 226 | 208.5 | 191 |
10 | PIT | Najee Harris | RB10 | 255 | 40 | 50 | 295 | 28.11% | 236 | 216.0 | 196 |
11 | TB | Rachaad White | RB11 | 215 | 55 | 70 | 270 | 27.80% | 216.5 | 189.0 | 161.5 |
12 | LAC | Austin Ekeler | RB12 | 195 | 91 | 115 | 286 | 27.68% | 335 | 289.5 | 244 |
13 | SEA | Kenneth Walker III | RB13 | 245 | 31 | 40 | 276 | 27.67% | 227 | 211.5 | 196 |
14 | DAL | Tony Pollard | RB14 | 245 | 45 | 60 | 290 | 27.48% | 276 | 253.5 | 231 |
15 | CIN | Joe Mixon | RB15 | 205 | 57 | 73 | 262 | 26.99% | 228.5 | 200.0 | 171.5 |
16 | NYJ | Breece Hall | RB16 | 235 | 36 | 49 | 271 | 26.92% | 234 | 216.0 | 198 |
17 | CAR | Miles Sanders | RB17 | 225 | 37 | 45 | 262 | 26.60% | 213 | 194.5 | 176 |
18 | BAL | JK Dobbins | RB18 | 252 | 24 | 32 | 276 | 25.70% | 231 | 219.0 | 207 |
19 | ARI | James Conner | RB19 | 215 | 43 | 55 | 258 | 25.59% | 217 | 195.5 | 174 |
20 | LAR | Cam Akers | RB20 | 225 | 30 | 40 | 255 | 25.36% | 206 | 191.0 | 176 |
21 | GB | Aaron Jones | RB21 | 195 | 50 | 64 | 245 | 24.67% | 227 | 202.0 | 177 |
22 | MIN | Alexander Mattison | RB22 | 225 | 32 | 39 | 257 | 24.22% | 206 | 190.0 | 174 |
23 | DET | David Montgomery | RB23 | 245 | 15 | 20 | 260 | 24.20% | 205 | 197.5 | 190 |
24 | JAX | Travis Etienne | RB24 | 195 | 45 | 58 | 240 | 23.76% | 222.5 | 200.0 | 177.5 |
25 | BUF | James Cook | RB25 | 185 | 46 | 58 | 231 | 22.92% | 215.5 | 192.5 | 169.5 |
26 | WAS | Brian Robinson | RB26 | 240 | 13 | 19 | 253 | 22.82% | 168.5 | 162.0 | 155.5 |
27 | GB | AJ Dillon | RB27 | 190 | 34 | 44 | 224 | 22.29% | 189 | 172.0 | 155 |
28 | KC | Isiah Pacheco | RB28 | 215 | 19 | 25 | 234 | 21.72% | 188.5 | 179.0 | 169.5 |
29 | DEN | Javonte Williams | RB29 | 175 | 34 | 46 | 209 | 20.75% | 187.5 | 170.5 | 153.5 |
30 | DET | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB30 | 128 | 68 | 90 | 196 | 19.91% | 256 | 222.0 | 188 |
31 | NO | Alvin Kamara | RB31 | 145 | 43 | 58 | 188 | 19.80% | 193 | 171.5 | 150 |
32 | DEN | Samaje Perine | RB32 | 150 | 34 | 45 | 184 | 18.31% | 173 | 156.0 | 139 |
33 | MIN | Justin Jefferson | WR1 | 5 | 121 | 180 | 126 | 16.97% | 355 | 294.5 | 234 |
34 | LAR | Cooper Kupp | WR2 | 7 | 116 | 170 | 123 | 16.94% | 324.5 | 266.5 | 208.5 |
35 | MIA | Tyreek Hill | WR3 | 10 | 108 | 160 | 118 | 16.67% | 324 | 270.0 | 216 |
36 | MIA | Raheem Mostert | RB33 | 135 | 23 | 32 | 158 | 16.37% | 151.5 | 140.0 | 128.5 |
37 | WAS | Antonio Gibson | RB34 | 120 | 48 | 65 | 168 | 16.30% | 165 | 141.0 | 117 |
38 | PHI | D’Andre Swift | RB35 | 145 | 27 | 34 | 172 | 16.20% | 140 | 126.5 | 113 |
39 | LV | Davante Adams | WR4 | 2 | 99 | 160 | 101 | 15.65% | 272 | 222.5 | 173 |
40 | BUF | Stefon Diggs | WR5 | 3 | 106 | 160 | 109 | 15.38% | 301.5 | 248.5 | 195.5 |
41 | NYJ | Garrett Wilson | WR6 | 5 | 101 | 157 | 106 | 15.36% | 292 | 241.5 | 191 |
42 | CIN | Ja’Marr Chase | WR7 | 7 | 107 | 151 | 114 | 15.34% | 327 | 273.5 | 220 |
43 | SF | Deebo Samuel | WR8 | 45 | 68 | 113 | 113 | 14.84% | 230.5 | 196.5 | 162.5 |
44 | PIT | Diontae Johnson | WR9 | 10 | 95 | 150 | 105 | 14.75% | 233 | 185.5 | 138 |
45 | DET | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR10 | 10 | 108 | 150 | 118 | 14.61% | 269 | 215.0 | 161 |
46 | NO | Chris Olave | WR11 | 5 | 94 | 144 | 99 | 14.54% | 274 | 227.0 | 180 |
47 | DAL | CeeDee Lamb | WR12 | 10 | 103 | 150 | 113 | 14.41% | 293 | 241.5 | 190 |
48 | CHI | Khalil Herbert | RB36 | 130 | 12 | 15 | 142 | 14.29% | 109 | 103.0 | 97 |
49 | CHI | D’Onta Foreman | RB37 | 135 | 8 | 10 | 143 | 14.29% | 113 | 109.0 | 105 |
50 | MIA | De’Von Achane | RB38 | 115 | 21 | 28 | 136 | 14.02% | 117 | 106.5 | 96 |
51 | PIT | Jaylen Warren | RB39 | 105 | 30 | 40 | 135 | 13.36% | 132 | 117.0 | 102 |
52 | TB | Chris Godwin | WR13 | 5 | 80 | 131 | 85 | 13.27% | 220 | 180.0 | 140 |
53 | JAX | Christian Kirk | WR14 | 6 | 86 | 135 | 92 | 13.24% | 236 | 193.0 | 150 |
54 | MIA | Jaylen Waddle | WR15 | 5 | 83 | 130 | 88 | 13.24% | 265 | 223.5 | 182 |
55 | CLE | Jerome Ford | RB40 | 105 | 12 | 45 | 117 | 13.22% | 82 | 76.0 | 70 |
56 | TEN | Treylon Burks | WR16 | 10 | 69 | 118 | 79 | 13.20% | 220.5 | 186.0 | 151.5 |
57 | KC | Travis Kelce | TE1 | 102 | 145 | 102 | 13.12% | 289.5 | 238.5 | 187.5 | |
58 | SEA | DK Metcalf | WR17 | 2 | 84 | 132 | 86 | 13.01% | 258 | 216.0 | 174 |
59 | ARI | Marquise Brown | WR18 | 5 | 81 | 132 | 86 | 12.99% | 206 | 165.5 | 125 |
60 | MIA | Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB41 | 105 | 18 | 25 | 123 | 12.75% | 106.5 | 97.5 | 88.5 |
61 | JAX | Calvin Ridley | WR19 | 3 | 83 | 132 | 86 | 12.68% | 234.5 | 193.0 | 151.5 |
62 | PHI | AJ Brown | WR20 | 2 | 85 | 138 | 87 | 12.67% | 284.5 | 242.0 | 199.5 |
63 | HOU | Devin Singletary | RB42 | 95 | 25 | 35 | 120 | 12.62% | 100 | 87.5 | 75 |
64 | SEA | Zach Charbonnet | RB43 | 105 | 20 | 25 | 125 | 12.62% | 96 | 86.0 | 76 |
65 | SF | Elijah Mitchell | RB44 | 120 | 9 | 12 | 129 | 12.39% | 95.5 | 91.0 | 86.5 |
66 | CHI | Roschon Johnson | RB45 | 95 | 23 | 30 | 118 | 12.32% | 95 | 83.5 | 72 |
67 | ATL | Drake London | WR21 | 2 | 81 | 123 | 83 | 12.20% | 222.5 | 182.0 | 141.5 |
68 | PHI | DeVonta Smith | WR22 | 3 | 93 | 130 | 96 | 12.04% | 264 | 217.5 | 171 |
69 | NO | Jamaal Williams | RB46 | 105 | 13 | 18 | 118 | 12.00% | 111 | 104.5 | 98 |
70 | WAS | Terry McLaurin | WR23 | 10 | 79 | 125 | 89 | 11.89% | 234 | 194.5 | 155 |
71 | CHI | DJ Moore | WR24 | 5 | 70 | 115 | 75 | 11.82% | 216.5 | 181.5 | 146.5 |
72 | CAR | Chuba Hubbard | RB47 | 90 | 24 | 30 | 114 | 11.82% | 115 | 103.0 | 91 |
73 | JAX | Tank Bigsby | RB48 | 105 | 16 | 20 | 121 | 11.74% | 115 | 107.0 | 99 |
74 | LAC | Joshua Kelley | RB49 | 100 | 20 | 30 | 120 | 11.61% | 92.5 | 82.5 | 72.5 |
75 | CIN | Tee Higgins | WR25 | 79 | 119 | 79 | 11.55% | 236.5 | 197.0 | 157.5 | |
76 | IND | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR26 | 5 | 81 | 124 | 86 | 11.47% | 208.5 | 168.0 | 127.5 |
77 | CLE | Amari Cooper | WR27 | 81 | 130 | 81 | 11.45% | 241.5 | 201.0 | 160.5 | |
78 | TEN | Tyjae Spears | RB50 | 75 | 26 | 36 | 101 | 11.44% | 111.5 | 98.5 | 85.5 |
79 | GB | Christian Watson | WR28 | 10 | 66 | 110 | 76 | 11.43% | 225 | 192.0 | 159 |
80 | LAC | Keenan Allen | WR29 | 3 | 88 | 125 | 91 | 11.43% | 234 | 190.0 | 146 |
81 | DEN | Jerry Jeudy | WR30 | 5 | 76 | 116 | 81 | 11.36% | 220 | 182.0 | 144 |
82 | ATL | Tyler Allgeier | RB51 | 105 | 7 | 11 | 112 | 11.32% | 80.5 | 77.0 | 73.5 |
83 | TB | Mike Evans | WR31 | 67 | 114 | 67 | 11.12% | 198.5 | 165.0 | 131.5 | |
84 | PIT | George Pickens | WR32 | 5 | 65 | 115 | 70 | 11.06% | 201 | 168.5 | 136 |
85 | MIN | Jordan Addison | WR33 | 5 | 78 | 115 | 83 | 11.01% | 202.5 | 163.5 | 124.5 |
86 | MIN | TJ Hockenson | TE2 | 76 | 120 | 76 | 11.01% | 197 | 159.0 | 121 | |
87 | BAL | Mark Andrews | TE3 | 84 | 120 | 84 | 10.86% | 231.5 | 189.5 | 147.5 | |
88 | KC | Jerick McKinnon | RB52 | 55 | 50 | 65 | 105 | 10.86% | 144 | 119.0 | 94 |
89 | BUF | Damien Harris | RB53 | 95 | 14 | 20 | 109 | 10.85% | 94.5 | 87.5 | 80.5 |
90 | SEA | Tyler Lockett | WR34 | 3 | 78 | 108 | 81 | 10.78% | 220.5 | 181.5 | 142.5 |
91 | PHI | Rashaad Penny | RB54 | 115 | 3 | 4 | 118 | 10.77% | 91 | 89.5 | 88 |
92 | ARI | Keaontay Ingram | RB55 | 85 | 18 | 25 | 103 | 10.43% | 83 | 74.0 | 65 |
93 | SF | Brandon Aiyuk | WR35 | 5 | 70 | 106 | 75 | 10.42% | 200 | 165.0 | 130 |
94 | NYG | Darren Waller | TE4 | 71 | 110 | 71 | 10.28% | 190.5 | 155.0 | 119.5 | |
95 | NO | Kendre Miller | RB56 | 80 | 18 | 24 | 98 | 10.15% | 86 | 77.0 | 68 |
96 | WAS | Jahan Dotson | WR36 | 5 | 71 | 110 | 76 | 10.13% | 203 | 167.5 | 132 |
97 | LV | Jakobi Meyers | WR37 | 4 | 72 | 100 | 76 | 10.05% | 183 | 147.0 | 111 |
98 | PHI | Kenneth Gainwell | RB57 | 80 | 25 | 30 | 105 | 9.95% | 103 | 90.5 | 78 |
99 | DAL | Malik Davis | RB58 | 95 | 11 | 15 | 106 | 9.91% | 85 | 79.5 | 74 |
100 | NE | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR38 | 66 | 100 | 66 | 9.76% | 167.5 | 134.5 | 101.5 |
Tight Ends: (98% correlation)
Rank | Player | RuAtt | Rec | Targets | Touches | Opp. Share | PPR | 1/2 PPR | Standard | |
1 | KC | Travis Kelce | 102 | 145 | 102 | 13.12% | 289.5 | 238.5 | 187.5 | |
2 | MIN | TJ Hockenson | 76 | 120 | 76 | 11.01% | 197 | 159.0 | 121 | |
3 | BAL | Mark Andrews | 84 | 120 | 84 | 10.86% | 231.5 | 189.5 | 147.5 | |
4 | NYG | Darren Waller | 71 | 110 | 71 | 10.28% | 190.5 | 155.0 | 119.5 | |
5 | ATL | Kyle Pitts | 66 | 100 | 66 | 9.76% | 183.5 | 150.5 | 117.5 | |
6 | PIT | Pat Freiermuth | 70 | 105 | 70 | 9.68% | 176.5 | 141.5 | 106.5 | |
7 | JAX | Evan Engram | 3 | 67 | 92 | 70 | 8.92% | 168.5 | 135.0 | 101.5 |
8 | TEN | Chigoziem Okonkwo | 61 | 86 | 61 | 8.87% | 169.5 | 139.0 | 108.5 | |
9 | LAR | Tyler Higbee | 62 | 90 | 62 | 8.61% | 156.5 | 125.5 | 94.5 | |
10 | SF | George Kittle | 65 | 90 | 65 | 8.45% | 180.5 | 148.0 | 115.5 | |
11 | PHI | Dallas Goedert | 70 | 92 | 70 | 8.33% | 187.5 | 152.5 | 117.5 | |
12 | NO | Taysom Hill | 70 | 9 | 15 | 79 | 8.29% | 88.4 | 78.5 | 79.4 |
13 | NO | Juwan Johnson | 58 | 83 | 58 | 8.10% | 159 | 130.0 | 101 | |
14 | HOU | Dalton Schultz | 55 | 80 | 55 | 7.77% | 138 | 110.5 | 83 | |
15 | CLE | David Njoku | 3 | 61 | 85 | 64 | 7.75% | 161.5 | 131.0 | 100.5 |
16 | NYJ | Tyler Conklin | 51 | 77 | 51 | 7.30% | 127.5 | 102.0 | 76.5 | |
17 | LAC | Gerald Everett | 56 | 80 | 56 | 7.14% | 132.5 | 104.5 | 76.5 | |
18 | SEA | Noah Fant | 45 | 68 | 45 | 6.60% | 111.5 | 89.0 | 66.5 | |
19 | CAR | Hayden Hurst | 42 | 65 | 42 | 6.40% | 104.5 | 83.5 | 62.5 | |
20 | CHI | Cole Kmet | 46 | 65 | 46 | 6.40% | 126.5 | 103.5 | 80.5 | |
21 | TB | Cade Otton | 44 | 65 | 44 | 6.34% | 118.5 | 96.5 | 74.5 | |
22 | DAL | Jake Ferguson | 49 | 70 | 49 | 6.31% | 123.5 | 99.0 | 74.5 | |
23 | CIN | Irv Smith Jr. | 45 | 60 | 45 | 5.83% | 111.5 | 89.0 | 66.5 | |
24 | IND | Jelani Woods | 40 | 65 | 40 | 5.78% | 113.5 | 93.5 | 73.5 | |
25 | BUF | Dawson Knox | 41 | 60 | 41 | 5.66% | 106 | 85.5 | 65 | |
26 | DET | Sam LaPorta | 41 | 60 | 41 | 5.48% | 111.5 | 91.0 | 70.5 | |
27 | ARI | Trey McBride | 38 | 57 | 38 | 5.40% | 96.5 | 77.5 | 58.5 | |
28 | NE | Hunter Henry | 38 | 55 | 38 | 5.37% | 96.5 | 77.5 | 58.5 | |
29 | BAL | Isaiah Likely | 39 | 58 | 39 | 5.25% | 98.5 | 79.0 | 59.5 | |
30 | DEN | Greg Dulcich | 37 | 55 | 37 | 5.16% | 96.5 | 78.0 | 59.5 |