2020 Projected Yard Share

by @theFellowKGB

RBs     WRs     TEs

Yard share is the total amount of yards a player gained divided by the total number of yards gained by their offense.

The resulting % gives us a great idea at how useful a player is within their offense and how much the team relies on them to move the ball.  I looked at Opportunity Share earlier and you can find those results here, but Yard Share is a new stat I’ve been tracking and it seems to have a stronger correlation to how good a player really is.  Opportunity for carries and targets are great, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the player is great.  We want players who can rack up yards as well as opportunities.  What they do with their opportunities is what separates an OK player from a Great player, so yard share is a great way to identify these players.  Check out 2019 Yard Share here.

WR1s: 1-12

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
1 MIN Adam Thielen 10 1,245 22.08%
2 NO Michael Thomas 5 1,415 21.39%
3 CHI Allen Robinson 5 1,170 21.29%
4 WAS Terry McLaurin 10 1,165 21.17%
5 ATL Julio Jones 10 1,325 20.76%
6 LAR Robert Woods 90 1,185 20.30%
7 TEN AJ Brown 20 1,195 20.22%
8 GB Davante Adams 1,230 19.63%
9 CAR DJ Moore 25 1,215 19.62%
10 TB Chris Godwin 15 1,255 19.48%
11 DEN Courtland Sutton 10 1,095 19.42%
12 KC Tyreek Hill 50 1,270 19.34%

WR2s: 13-24

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
13 DET Kenny Golladay 1,205 19.20%
14 ARI DeAndre Hopkins 5 1,160 18.68%
15 TB Mike Evans 1,215 18.63%
16 IND TY Hilton 1,135 18.23%
17 PIT Juju Smith-Schuster 10 1,105 18.16%
18 LAC Keenan Allen 10 1,005 17.76%
19 CLE Odell Beckham Jr. 5 1,115 17.60%
20 LAR Cooper Kupp 10 1,095 17.60%
21 SEA Tyler Lockett 25 1,085 17.28%
22 ATL Calvin Ridley 25 1,085 17.26%
23 BUF Stefon Diggs 15 985 17.20%
24 MIA DeVante Parker 985 17.19%

WR3s: 25-36

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
25 JAX DJ Chark 1,025 17.14%
26 DAL Amari Cooper 5 1,195 16.95%
27 NE Julian Edelman 20 925 16.87%
28 DAL Michael Gallup 5 1,185 16.81%
29 SF Deebo Samuel 100 925 16.73%
30 CIN AJ Green 1,015 16.72%
31 DET Marvin Jones 5 1,015 16.25%
32 NYJ Jamison Crowder 5 875 16.21%
33 SEA DK Metcalf 15 1,015 16.03%
34 PIT Diontae Johnson 35 875 14.82%
35 LAC Mike Williams 840 14.70%
36 NYJ Breshad Perriman 795 14.64%

Per the 2019 Yard Share article, we found out that Elite WRs are typically over 20% yard share.  The next cutoff would be around 15%+, giving us a target range for WR2s and WR3s.

We also learned that the better the offense is as a whole, the lower a player’s Yard Share % may be.  Dallas led the league in yards last year and produced several fantasy starters for us in Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Randall Cobb and even Jason Witten.  Because they had so many mouths to feed, their yard share’s were down, but their production was still at a high level.  This also applied to Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf in Seattle, so don’t be afraid to draft players in good offenses with great players around them.


2019 Yard Share (%)

Flex

1


I’ll be using Yard Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 and I highly recommend you do as well.  In tandem with Yard Share %, my 2019 Opportunity Report offers some useful knowledge on how carries and targets correlate to PPR finishes. Link to 2019 Opportunity Report.

And my 2020 Projected Opportunity Share’s here.

 

Thanks for reading!

— Kyle

(data visualization courtesy of @jkheffernon)

 

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