2020 Projected Yard Share

by @theFellowKGB

RBs    WRs     TEs

Yard share is the total amount of yards a player gained divided by the total number of yards gained by their offense.

The resulting % gives us a great idea at how useful a player is within their offense and how much the team relies on them to move the ball.  I looked at Opportunity Share earlier and you can find those results here, but Yard Share is a new stat I’ve been tracking and it seems to have a stronger correlation to how good a player really is.  Opportunity for carries and targets are great, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the player is great.  We want players who can rack up yards as well as opportunities.  What they do with their opportunities is what separates an OK player from a Great player, so yard share is a great way to identify these players.  Check out 2019 Yard Share here.

RB1s: 1-12

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
1 CAR Christian McCaffrey 1,265 935 34.81%
2 NYG Saquon Barkley 1,325 575 31.54%
3 TEN Derrick Henry 1,495 225 28.62%
4 MIN Dalvin Cook 1,125 495 28.50%
5 NYJ Le’Veon Bell 1,015 490 27.72%
6 LV Josh Jacobs 1,395 345 27.64%
7 CLE Nick Chubb 1,525 195 27.02%
8 CIN Joe Mixon 1,255 305 25.69%
9 DAL Ezekiel Elliott 1295 415 24.15%
10 NO Alvin Kamara 975 625 24.10%
11 JAX Leonard Fournette 1,075 365 24.08%
12 GB Aaron Jones 1,075 425 23.94%

RB2s: 13-24

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
13 PHI Miles Sanders 995 525 23.28%
14 PIT James Conner 1,015 395 22.96%
15 LAC Austin Ekeler 615 675 22.57%
16 SEA Chris Carson 1,125 265 21.63%
17 ARI Kenyan Drake 1,005 305 21.00%
18 DEN Melvin Gordon 895 295 20.91%
19 CHI David Montgomery 935 185 20.29%
20 SF Raheem Mostert 995 210 19.67%
21 BUF Devin Singletary 895 195 18.74%
22 NE Sony Michel 975 75 18.36%
23 ATL Todd Gurley 875 305 18.35%
24 HOU David Johnson 960 165 18.31%

RB3s: 25-36

Rank Team Player RuYds RecYds Yard %
25 WAS Derrius Guice 765 215 17.66%
26 KC Clyde Edwards-Helaire 755 440 17.51%
27 TB Ronald Jones 855 240 16.79%
28 MIA Jordan Howard 845 95 16.40%
29 IND Jonathan Taylor 845 145 15.90%
30 LAR Cam Akers 755 225 15.61%
31 BAL JK Dobbins 835 180 15.37%
32 CLE Kareem Hunt 555 420 15.32%
33 BUF Zack Moss 715 165 15.13%
34 MIA Matt Breida 555 295 14.83%
35 CHI Tarik Cohen 325 465 14.31%
36 HOU Duke Johnson 455 405 14.00%

Per the 2019 Yard Share article, we found out that Elite RB1s are typically over 25% yard share.

RBs over 15% are good bets to finish as RB2s or better.  We also found out that the outliers in the study who had high yard share % but did not finish as RB2s were strictly RBs who were not involved in the passing game.

Target RBs over 15% yard share and who are expected to be involved in the passing game when looking for upside RB2s.


2019 Yard Share (%)

Flex

1


I’ll be using Yard Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 and I highly recommend you do as well.  In tandem with Yard Share %, my 2019 Opportunity Report offers some useful knowledge on how carries and targets correlate to PPR finishes. Link to 2019 Opportunity Report.

And my 2020 Projected Opportunity Share’s here.

Thanks for reading!

— Kyle

(data visualization courtesy of @jkheffernon)

 

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