2020 Opportunity Share QBs

This article is all about projected opportunity shares for the 2020 season. (by @theFellowKGB)

Opportunity share is the number of rushing attempts and targets a player gets divided by the total number of a team’s offensive plays, resulting in a percentage of opportunity.  For QBs, we add their number of pass attempts into the mix.  We want to target players who are projecting to get a lot of opportunities, so I hope this helps you with your 2020 Draft Prep and beyond!

Check out the 2019 Opportunity Report here.  These 2019 reports are very helpful when considering our 2020 projections for players.  The Opportunity Share might be most important for running backs, but we see important correlations at the WR position and a very direct correlation at the TE position.  I’m not sure how helpful these are for Quarterbacks just yet, but I highly recommend looking deeply at all positions through this stat when considering your 2020 selections.

QBs     RBs     WRs     TEs

QBs: 1-12

Team Player PaAtt RuAtt Total Opp. Share
ATL Matt Ryan 648 32 680 66.47%
ARI Kyler Murray 565 90 655 66.26%
CIN Joe Burrow 615 65 680 65.70%
JAX Gardner Minshew 575 75 650 65.66%
KC Patrick Mahomes 585 60 645 64.82%
PIT Ben Roethlisberger 625 35 660 63.46%
NYG Daniel Jones 570 60 630 63.00%
LAR Jared Goff 611 35 646 62.72%
HOU Deshaun Watson 535 85 620 62.69%
CAR Teddy Bridgewater 580 45 625 62.13%
DAL Dak Prescott 600 55 655 62.09%
GB Aaron Rodgers 585 45 630 61.95%

QBs: 13-24

Team Player PaAtt RuAtt Total Opp. Share
DET Matt Stafford 585 30 615 61.81%
TB Tom Brady 605 25 630 61.58%
NYJ Sam Darnold 545 45 590 61.46%
SEA Russell Wilson 530 80 610 60.70%
BUF Josh Allen 496 105 601 60.28%
DEN Drew Lock 525 48 573 59.69%
WAS Dwayne Haskins 521 45 566 59.58%
IND Philip Rivers 575 15 590 58.36%
TEN Ryan Tannehill 455 61 516 57.02%
NO Drew Brees 540 30 570 57.00%
PHI Carson Wentz 560 55 615 56.94%
CLE Baker Mayfield 546 32 578 56.61%

QBs: 25-32

Team Player PaAtt RuAtt Total Opp. Share
BAL Lamar Jackson 425 170 595 55.87%
LV Derek Carr 525 30 555 55.78%
CHI Nick Foles 512 35 547 54.97%
NE Jarrett Stidham 535 40 575 54.50%
MIN Kirk Cousins 480 35 515 53.65%
SF Jimmy Garoppolo 468 45 513 52.19%
LAC Tyrod Taylor 385 75 460 48.32%
MIA Tua Tagovailoa 290 35 325 33.27%
* please note that projecting QBs is difficult.  Many QBs will fail to play a full 16 game season, so this is more of an optimistic view with each starting QB representing nearly a full passing opportunity per team.

Recap:

Target QBs with 600+ passing and rushing attempts (avoid turnover prone QBs).

Target QBs with 75+ rushing attempts.

Thanks for reading!

– Kyle (@theFellowKGB)

 

I’ll be using Opportunity Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 in tandem with Yard Share %.  Check out my  2019 Yard Share % article and Projected 2020 Yard Share %.

 

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