2020 Opportunity Share TEs

This article is all about projected opportunity shares for the 2020 season. (by @theFellowKGB)

Opportunity share is the number of rushing attempts and targets a player gets divided by the total number of a team’s offensive plays, resulting in a percentage of opportunity.  For QBs, we add their number of pass attempts into the mix.  We want to target players who are projecting to get a lot of opportunities, so I hope this helps you with your 2020 Draft Prep and beyond!

Check out the 2019 Opportunity Report here.  These 2019 reports are very helpful when considering our 2020 projections for players.  The Opportunity Share might be most important for running backs, but we see important correlations at the WR position and a very direct correlation at the TE position.  I’m not sure how helpful these are for Quarterbacks just yet, but I highly recommend looking deeply at all positions through this stat when considering your 2020 selections.

QBs     RBs     WRs     TEs

TEs: 1-12

Team Player RuAtt Targets Opp. Share 2019
KC Travis Kelce 128 12.86% 14.68%
PHI Zach Ertz 122 11.30% 12.65%
SF George Kittle 3 105 10.99% 11.48%
LV Darren Waller 1 99 10.05% 12.40%
NYG Evan Engram 99 9.90% 7.47%
MIA Mike Gesicki 95 9.72% 9.23%
LAR Tyler Higbee 98 9.51% 8.71%
BAL Mark Andrews 101 9.48% 9.46%
LAC Hunter Henry 86 9.03% 7.89%
ATL Hayden Hurst 91 8.90% 3.76%
TEN Jonnu Smith 3 76 8.73% 5.38%
CAR Ian Thomas 86 8.55% 2.94%

Notes:

In 2019, we found out that a number of at least 80 targets is required to finish as a TE1, unless they score a lot of touchdowns like Jared Cook last year (65 targets) or Hunter Henry (76 targets).

The top 12 TE’s in opportunity share last year were all above 7.89%, with all 12 of them finishing in the top 13 in final PPR rankings.  This percentage suggests that we should be looking for TE’s with the potential to be at 8.00% or above.

TEs: 13-24

Team Player RuAtt Targets Opp. Share 2019
DAL Blake Jarwin 89 8.44% 3.92%
PHI Dallas Goedert 91 8.43% 8.15%
CLE Austin Hooper 83 8.13% 9.27%
DET TJ Hockenson 80 8.04% 6.18%
TB Rob Gronkowski 81 7.92%
IND Jack Doyle 78 7.72% 7.32%
DEN Noah Fant 74 7.71% 7.56%
NO Jared Cook 74 7.40% 6.59%
NYJ Chris Herndon 69 7.19% .22%
BUF Dawson Knox 71 7.12% 5.21%
PIT Eric Ebron 72 6.92% 5.28%
JAX Tyler Eifert 65 6.57% 6.29%

Recap:

Target TEs who project to get 80+ targets.

Target TEs above 8.00% opportunity share.

Thanks for reading!

– Kyle (@theFellowKGB)

 

I’ll be using Opportunity Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 in tandem with Yard Share %.  Check out my  2019 Yard Share % article and Projected 2020 Yard Share %.

 

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