This article is all about opportunity shares from the 2019 season. (by @theFellowKGB)
Opportunity share is the number of rushing attempts and targets a player gets divided by the total number of a team’s offensive plays, resulting in a percentage of opportunity. For QBs, we add their number of pass attempts into the mix. We want to target players who are projecting to get a lot of opportunities, so I hope this helps you with your 2020 Draft Prep and beyond! You can check out my projected 2020 Opportunity Shares here.
* The finishes listed on the far right columns are in standard format (4pt PaTD)
* Please be aware that whatever happened in the previous season is no indication as to how the next one will go. These are simply stats and observations from 2019 that may help us this year and beyond.
QBs: 1-12
| Team | Player | PaAtt | RuAtt | Total | Opp. Share | Finish |
| ARI | Murray | 542 | 93 | 635 | 68.72% | QB8 |
| TB | Winston | 626 | 59 | 685 | 65.93% | QB5 |
| LAR | Goff | 626 | 33 | 659 | 63.79% | QB13 |
| PHI | Wentz | 607 | 62 | 669 | 62.70% | QB10 |
| LAC | Rivers | 591 | 12 | 603 | 62.62% | QB18 |
| GB | Rodgers | 569 | 46 | 615 | 62.50% | QB9 |
| ATL | Ryan | 616 | 34 | 650 | 62.14% | QB11 |
| DAL | Prescott | 596 | 52 | 648 | 61.95% | QB2 |
| CLE | Mayfield | 534 | 28 | 562 | 60.30% | QB19 |
| NE | Brady | 613 | 26 | 639 | 59.89% | QB12 |
| HOU | Watson | 495 | 82 | 577 | 59.71% | QB4 |
| SEA | Wilson | 516 | 75 | 591 | 59.22% | QB3 |
Notes:
9 of the top 12 QBs in opportunity % finished as QB1s.
As for Goff, Rivers and Mayfield, they threw a lot of INTs last year: Goff (16), Rivers (20) and Baker (21). These INTs skew the charts a bit, as less INTs mean more points and higher finishes.
9 QBs had 600+ total passing and rushing attempts, only Goff and Rivers missed being a top 12 QB.
5 QBs threw more than 600+ pass attempts in 2019, with 4 finishing as QB1s and Goff just outside as QB13.
5 QBs rushed more than 75 times (Lamar + Allen below, Murray, Watson, Wilson). All 5 finished as QB1s.
QBs: 13-24
| Team | Player | PaAtt | RuAtt | Total | Opp. Share | Finish |
| BUF | Allen | 461 | 109 | 570 | 58.28% | QB7 |
| CHI | Trubisky | 516 | 48 | 564 | 57.85% | QB25 |
| MIA | Fitzpatrick | 502 | 54 | 556 | 57.68% | QB17 |
| KC | Mahomes | 484 | 43 | 527 | 56.48% | QB6 |
| LV | Carr | 513 | 27 | 540 | 56.25% | QB14 |
| CIN | Dalton | 528 | 32 | 560 | 56.04% | QB26 |
| BAL | Jackson | 401 | 176 | 577 | 55.69% | QB1 |
| JAX | Minshew | 470 | 67 | 537 | 54.91% | QB20 |
| SF | Garoppolo | 476 | 46 | 522 | 53.48% | QB15 |
| NYG | Jones | 459 | 45 | 504 | 53.05% | QB24 |
| NYJ | Darnold | 441 | 33 | 474 | 52.43% | QB27 |
| IND | Brissett | 447 | 56 | 503 | 51.22% | QB23 |
More Notes:
Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are 2 outliers here, being in run heavy offenses with low pass attempts.
Patrick Mahomes is the other outlier here, missing 2 games with his injury and finishing as QB6.
The only QBs with 100+ rushing attempts were Lamar Jackson (QB1) and Josh Allen (QB7).
Recap:
Target QBs with 600+ passing and rushing attempts (avoid turnover prone QBs).
Target QBs with 75+ rushing attempts.
Thanks for reading!
– Kyle (@theFellowKGB)
I’ll be using Opportunity Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 in tandem with Yard Share %. Check out my 2019 Yard Share % article and Projected 2020 Yard Share %.
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