2019 Opportunity Report QBs

This article is all about opportunity shares from the 2019 season. (by @theFellowKGB)

Opportunity share is the number of rushing attempts and targets a player gets divided by the total number of a team’s offensive plays, resulting in a percentage of opportunity.  For QBs, we add their number of pass attempts into the mix.  We want to target players who are projecting to get a lot of opportunities, so I hope this helps you with your 2020 Draft Prep and beyond!  You can check out my projected 2020 Opportunity Shares here.

* The finishes listed on the far right columns are in standard format (4pt PaTD)
* Please be aware that whatever happened in the previous season is no indication as to how the next one will go.  These are simply stats and observations from 2019 that may help us this year and beyond.

QBs     RBs     WRs     TEs

QBs: 1-12

Team Player PaAtt RuAtt Total Opp. Share Finish
ARI Murray 542 93 635 68.72% QB8
TB Winston 626 59 685 65.93% QB5
LAR Goff 626 33 659 63.79% QB13
PHI Wentz 607 62 669 62.70% QB10
LAC Rivers 591 12 603 62.62% QB18
GB Rodgers 569 46 615 62.50% QB9
ATL Ryan 616 34 650 62.14% QB11
DAL Prescott 596 52 648 61.95% QB2
CLE Mayfield 534 28 562 60.30% QB19
NE Brady 613 26 639 59.89% QB12
HOU Watson 495 82 577 59.71% QB4
SEA Wilson 516 75 591 59.22% QB3

Notes:

9 of the top 12 QBs in opportunity % finished as QB1s.

As for Goff, Rivers and Mayfield, they threw a lot of INTs last year: Goff (16), Rivers (20) and Baker (21).  These INTs skew the charts a bit, as less INTs mean more points and higher finishes.

9 QBs had 600+ total passing and rushing attempts, only Goff and Rivers missed being a top 12 QB.

5 QBs threw more than 600+ pass attempts in 2019, with 4 finishing as QB1s and Goff just outside as QB13.

5 QBs rushed more than 75 times (Lamar + Allen below, Murray, Watson, Wilson).  All 5 finished as QB1s.

QBs: 13-24

Team Player PaAtt RuAtt Total Opp. Share Finish
BUF Allen 461 109 570 58.28% QB7
CHI Trubisky 516 48 564 57.85% QB25
MIA Fitzpatrick 502 54 556 57.68% QB17
KC Mahomes 484 43 527 56.48% QB6
LV Carr 513 27 540 56.25% QB14
CIN Dalton 528 32 560 56.04% QB26
BAL Jackson 401 176 577 55.69% QB1
JAX Minshew 470 67 537 54.91% QB20
SF Garoppolo 476 46 522 53.48% QB15
NYG Jones 459 45 504 53.05% QB24
NYJ Darnold 441 33 474 52.43% QB27
IND Brissett 447 56 503 51.22% QB23

More Notes:

Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are 2 outliers here, being in run heavy offenses with low pass attempts.

Patrick Mahomes is the other outlier here, missing 2 games with his injury and finishing as QB6.

The only QBs with 100+ rushing attempts were Lamar Jackson (QB1) and Josh Allen (QB7).

 

Recap:

Target QBs with 600+ passing and rushing attempts (avoid turnover prone QBs).

Target QBs with 75+ rushing attempts.

Thanks for reading!

– Kyle (@theFellowKGB)

 

I’ll be using Opportunity Share % as a tool for my drafts in 2020 in tandem with Yard Share %.  Check out my  2019 Yard Share % article and Projected 2020 Yard Share %.

 

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